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Oliver's Insights – Why is the gold price so strong and can it continue?

This note looks at the surge in the gold price to a record high.

The key points are as follows:

- The rise in the gold price is being driven by a combination of factors including: worries about inflation and the outlook for paper currencies, central bank buying, and a fall in the opportunity cost of holding gold. Interestingly, while the price of gold is at a record high in nominal terms it is still below its 1980 high of US$2,318 an ounce in today’s prices.

- While there is a risk of a short-term correction in the gold price, more upside is likely over the medium term.

- However, given gold’s highly speculative nature, a better approach for investors would be to consider a broad commodity exposure as opposed to a singular focus on gold.

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